Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.439780 0.478876 0.521265 0.570884 0.627687 0.691064 0.767657
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.361712 0.416979 0.482258 0.566284 0.673440 0.808235 0.995252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.313562 0.377275 0.457662 0.569418 0.725799 0.945474 1.295331
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.275498 0.342034 0.430223 0.560404 0.756925 1.060721 1.611373
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.255057 0.325695 0.423627 0.576621 0.825523 1.250671 2.142436
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.230730 0.300379 0.400012 0.562112 0.840908 1.355737 2.577251
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.207726 0.274172 0.371383 0.534318 0.826533 1.400118 2.908554
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.189065 0.252384 0.346766 0.508985 0.810619 1.435799 3.247499
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.180954 0.245369 0.343917 0.519439 0.863419 1.637434 4.263056
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.177588 0.245083 0.351445 0.548891 0.961023 1.989875 6.344772
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.169597 0.236827 0.344906 0.551343 1.001962 2.217515 8.409653
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.159752 0.224854 0.330938 0.537571 1.003001 2.331367 10.178523
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.150505 0.213609 0.317914 0.525373 1.008888 2.479180 12.904634
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.142871 0.204613 0.308268 0.519256 1.030286 2.704040 17.801637
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.137083 0.198283 0.302817 0.521187 1.074015 3.053757 28.136557
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.130445 0.190067 0.293216 0.512931 1.088354 3.301948 42.212951
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.127307 0.187551 0.293813 0.527037 1.171357 3.962713 104.532942
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.121152 0.179427 0.283179 0.514245 1.169827 4.192511 188.160302
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.114112 0.169395 0.268227 0.489772 1.125919 4.144559 252.206764
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.107818 0.160387 0.254717 0.467416 1.084856 4.093544 346.307919
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.105547 0.158342 0.254515 0.476642 1.151304 4.838049 6989.092416
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.105141 0.159568 0.260794 0.502587 1.286571 6.412889 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.102330 0.156281 0.257766 0.504743 1.335971 7.409478 NaN